Author: Dmytro Sochnyev
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Berlin Campaign Conference 2025
How can traditional conservative parties survive amid declining voter bases, rising populism, and rapid digital change? Success depends on reframing political narratives, mastering social media and AI tools, and adapting to shifting demographics with more inclusive and emotionally resonant messaging. The global centre-right parties will either renew themselves through these transformations or risk being overtaken…
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Missing the Jungle for the Trees
How did US intelligence miss the warning signs of the Tet Offensive? Dmytro Sochnyev revisits one of the Vietnam War’s most consequential intelligence failures. Despite abundant evidence of an imminent large-scale attack, entrenched assumptions and cognitive bias blinded American commanders to the signs. Sochnyev analyses how this misjudgement turned a tactical success into a strategic…
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Production as Deterrence
Europe faces serious munitions shortages exposed by Ukraine’s high ammunition demands. Without legacy stockpiles, Europe must prioritise a large and diverse munitions output to ensure its defence operates at maximum capacity and thus help establish deterrence. Reducing cross-political bureaucracy, innovating cost-efficient approaches, and fostering continental cooperation will be critical.
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Climate in Security
1. Main question: What is the effect of climate change on European security, and how prepared is the EU? 2. Argument: Climate change poses serious security risks to the EU—from infrastructure damage and mass migration to geopolitical shifts—yet the Union remains underprepared. 3. Conclusion: The EU must invest in mitigation, aid vulnerable nations, and strengthen…
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Evaluating European Artillery Aid to Ukraine in 2024
How has Europe helped meet Ukraine’s request for artillery ammunition? This brief contextualises and visualises EU artillery aid to Ukraine since 2022, measured against Kyiv’s requests. The brief describes how aid shortages have affected battlefield dynamics, and what solutions exist.
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Artificial Intelligence & Aggressive Intentions
Can AI reshape the future of warfare and deterrence? This article explores how advancements in AI and autonomous weapons are transforming military strategy and state power dynamics. As weapons systems grow more independent, states are redefining deterrence strategies to maintain security in a rapidly evolving technological landscape. From drones to human-machine teaming, the article examines…
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The Subtle Infiltration of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems
Unmanned systems proliferate in warfare, from reconnaissance to tactical strikes, raising ethical and regulatory concerns.
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Beyond the Survivability Myth
Many misunderstand military obsolescence, assuming battlefield survivability dictates a system’s relevance. Dmytro Sochnyev attacks that myth, arguing that obsolescence stems from the emergence and availability of superior alternatives, not mere vulnerability. Through historical and modern examples, the author reveals why even “outdated” weapons persist—proving that survivability alone is not the key determinant of military evolution,…