How Credibility Erosion Forces States to Adapt
Timeframe: 01/01/2026 – 01/01/2027
Key Insights
- Main question: how can policymakers address and navigate current geopolitical situation?
- Argument: Due to the absence of a central authority in the international system, states must rely on self-help.
- Conclusion: Policymakers should therefore adopt a hedging strategy by diversifying sector-specific partnerships in critical domains such as energy security, supply chains, and digital infrastructure, as heavy dependence on a single actor in these areas may be harmful in the long term.
Definition
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The central policy problem emerging from this dynamic is that growing unpredictability among major powers forces states to reconsider their strategic positioning.
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