Author: Valentin Grangier
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The Weak Yen Trap
Q: Does Japan’s dollar exposure prevent the BoJ from raising rates? Arg: Low rates fuel carry trades that weaken the yen, while $1T+ in U.S. Treasuries ties Japan to U.S. monetary cycles — a self-reinforcing trap. Concl: Gradual normalisation is the best exit, but political pressures keep the status quo attractive.
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Interview: Minilateralism in East Asia
Main Question: How do minilateral arrangements shape East Asian cooperation? Argument: Forums like ASEAN provide broad frameworks, while minilaterals (Quad, trilateral dialogues) enable focused security cooperation alongside economic ties to China and reliance on the U.S. Conclusion: Minilaterals complement larger institutions, offering flexible, pragmatic, and targeted regional cooperation.
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Conclusion: Trade Wars
Question: How do trade wars reshape the global economy, and how can states respond? Argument: Trade wars disrupt supply chains, raise prices, and drive economic nationalism, requiring diversification, digital innovation, and multilateral cooperation. Conclusion: Managing trade wars needs flexible, strategic, and cooperative approaches to sustain stable and open global trade
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Policy Recommendation: Trade Policy
Question: How do trade wars impact global economics, and how can states respond? Argument: Trade wars disrupt supply chains, raise prices, and weaken multilateral institutions; mitigation requires diversification, digital standards, and multilateral trust. Conclusion: States can reduce trade war risks through diversified trade, anti-coercion measures, tech agreements, and multilateral engagement
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Editorial: EPIS Report on International Economic Relations Issue I
Main Question: How are economic policies becoming tools of national security and global power? Argument: Trade wars and shifting alliances show that economics and geopolitics are increasingly intertwined. Conclusion: Balance national interests with global cooperation
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EPIS Report on Artificial Intelligence and Cybersecurity Issue I
Belen Bringas & Yes Grangier Timeframe: 01/02/2012 – 11/10/2025 United States of America · Cyber Defence-Protection & Cooperation · Issue I The EU Should not Wait for Trump’s Green Light to Block TikTok Romania’s Case Study Shows How the Platform Threatens Electoral Processes Romania’s case study should inform the European policymakers’ decision to enforce an…
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Poland–Korea: A New Defence Alliance
How are Poland and South Korea expanding defence cooperation, and what are the strategic implications? Poland gains rapid access to advanced weaponry and industrial growth, while Korea secures a strategic entry into Europe as a global defence exporter. The partnership could become a lasting model of Europe–Asia defence cooperation if localisation and NATO integration succeed.