Tag: Crisis Management
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Agenda Shaper on Ukraine
How has the European Parliament (EP) used own-initiative (INI) reports to shape the EU’s support to Ukraine whilst advocating more EU influence? The EP urged stronger support to Ukraine via informal agenda shaping, arguing that this crisis and its values necessitate a stronger role on foreign policy for the EU and, in particular, the EP.…
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After Maduro’s Ouster: Transition or Recast?
Main Question: Is Venezuela heading toward a democratic transition or a market-authoritarian reconfiguration after Maduro’s ouster? Argument: Early changes show a fast economic opening (especially in oil) under U.S. licensing and revenue controls, while political guarantees lag amid emergency governance, fragile civic space, and reversible repression. Conclusion: So far, evidence points more to reconfiguration than…
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South America’s Turn to the Right
Is South America’s shift to the right ideological or cyclical? Voters have turned to right-wing leaders mainly because of economic problems, crime, and frustration with prolonged left-wing governments. Hence, the shift is a short-term, corrective reaction rather than ideological in nature.
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Countering Orwellian Foreign Policy
The article asks how democractic states can preserve the integrity of foreign-policy making as authoritarian actors weaponize information and blur shared truth. It argues that contested narratives pull foreing policy into mass politics, shrinking strategic room for action and enabling Orwellian practices. It concludes that democracies must reinforce factuality, complexity, and open judgement to remain…
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Germany’s Quest for Military Leadership
-Should Germany pursue the ambition to build Europe’s strongest conventional army given its economic costs and constraints? -Rearmament can foster dual-use innovation, industrial restructuring, and strategic autonomy, but only if procurement is reformed, R&D is targeted, and financing becomes sustainable. -The ambition is economically viable only under currently unmet conditions. Without reforms and sustainable funding,…
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Tanzania’s Post-Election Uprising
This brief argues that widespread protests which occurred in October 2025 in Tanzania were triggered by years of authoritarian consolidation under president Suluhu, the systematic repression of opposition forces, and the exclusion of young citizens. The aftermath suggests that, without genuine democratic reform and youth inclusion, Tanzania will face continued instability, reflecting a broader pattern…
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Shaping Europe’s Security – A Formula for Success?
This article highlights changes within the CSDP/CFSP framework and evaluates the security and industrial initiatives that reflect this shift. The overall argument rests on the premise that the EU has begun to base its security decision-making on both the traditional intergovernmental level and the supranational level led by the Commission. Despite that, the final decision…
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Public-Private Partnerships in Defence
1. Main Question: Are governments, militaries, and private companies prepared to cooperate effectively when the next crisis strikes? 2. Argument: Modern defence relies heavily on private-sector capabilities, yet current structures, legal frameworks, and trust levels are insufficient for seamless crisis coordination. 3. Conclusion: To build real resilience, public-private cooperation must be institutionalized through permanent partnerships,…
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Charting the Strategic Autonomy of the EU
This brief explores the European Union’s strategic autonomy and examines its role in light of the USA-China rivalry. We seek to answer the question of how the EU’s pursuit of independence evolved over the years in response to the great-power competition and multipolar world. We conclude that the Union’s goal of autonomy has been substantially…
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Foresight Analysis for Policymaking in International Relations
Can policymakers really anticipate the future? As uncertainty defines today’s global politics, Jonatan von Moltke explores the rise of foresight analysis as a tool for strategic governance. He examines how methods like horizon scanning, scenario mapping, and megatrend analysis can help governments prepare for disruptive change – and weighs their promise against the risks of…