Author: Pablo Mathis
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Petrodollar
Petrodollar describes how Gulf oil is exchanged for US Security. The Petrodollar has helped establish the USD as a global reserve currency. Iranian retaliatory strikes against the Gulf states threaten the petrodollar.
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Escalation
The article explains what military escalation is and how it can help us understand events. In doing so, the contribution presents the dimensions of vertical, horizontal, and political escalation. The concept of escalation cna help evaluate military options and assess their consequences.
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Hedging Against Uncertainty
What is Hedging? Hedging is a foreign policy strategy of states against uncertainty. Hedging, although a contested concept, can help observers make sense of international relations.
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Comparison of Russian & EU Arms Supply During Ukraine War
Russia outproduces the EU in arms, leveraging a wartime economy, while the EU struggles with limited production capacity, posing future conflict risks despite higher equipment quality.
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EPIS Basics: the US Grand Strategy Spectrum
America has the luxury of choosing along a spectrum of four broad grand strategy choices: isolationism, offshore balancing, selective engagement, and hegemony.
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Hiding in Plain Sight
Over the past years, open-source intelligence (OSINT) has gained increasing public attention. This background article analyses the power and methodology of OSINT.
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EPIS Basics: Thucydides’ Trap
The text explores Thucydides’ Trap: rising power sparks war. Fear, honor, and interest are key motives for conflict. Creative diplomacy offers a path to escape the trap.
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Russia House
A publication by OSINT for Ukraine has revealed connections between the Russian state-run “Russia House” in Berlin and the German AfD.
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EPIS Basics: Total Defense
Total Defense emphasizes a society-wide effort to strengthen national resilience. It integrates civil, military, and institutional resources to respond to hybrid threats. The concept urges European societies to rethink preparedness, enhance coordination, and foster civic responsibility in a changing threat landscape.
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World Bank
The World Bank is an international financial institution which provides loans, grants, and technical assistance to developing countries for financial projects. Its primary goal is to reduce poverty in the world by providing aid for building infrastructures and addressing debt problems of the Third World economies. It focuses on assisting nations in achieving sustainable growth…