Tag: Crisis Management
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The Korean Peninsula as a Scene of Geopolitical Development
The Korean Peninsula draws global attention as North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, meets Putin, hinting at deeper cooperation.
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Is my Crystal Ball Better than Yours?
Strategic foresight is a serious discipline and a risky business. Even with profound experience and a systematic methodology, attempts to look into the future remain close to the realms of speculation and ideology.
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From Hermit Kingdom to Queendom
It is all about sending a message: Introducing a successor is not why Kim Jong-un showcases his daughter. Rather, he wants to send a message to the international community. And considering developments in North Korea’s domestic politics, his signals are credible.
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Hedging
Hedging, a relatively new concept, refers to a strategic approach where states simultaneously pursue multiple policies to manage uncertainty and to adapt to changing geopolitical dynamics. This involves both maintaining a flexible stance and hedging against potential risks. This strategy aims to have a balance between safeguarding security and maximising advantageous opportunities in an unpredictable…
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Joseph Stalin
Joseph Stalin, the leader of the Soviet Union from the 1920s until his death in 1953, had a significant impact on the international order during and after World War II. He allied with the United Kingdom and the United states to eventually defeat Nazi Germany in 1945. Stalin’s post-war actions contributed to the division between…
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Political Warfare
The term political warfare has been used differently throughout history. In the West, US Diplomat George Kennan significantly influenced the understanding of political warfare. In his 1948 memorandum “Organizing Political Warfare,” Kennan described political warfare as the hostile employment of all means at a nation’s disposal short of war.
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Friction and Fog of War
“Everything in war is simple, but the simplest thing is difficult.” This quote by Clausewitz encapsulates the meaning of “friction”. The concept refers to minor problems in implementing a battle plan. These issues accumulate, constituting the difference between a plan and its implementation. Related to friction is the problem regarding uncertainty of knowledge. Although Clausewitz…